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October 29, 2006

What’s it’s About

Filed under: Elections, Calculus — AlexC @ 12:38 pm

Salena Zito says it’s like 1992.

    So, what are the brains behind the Democrats — such as strategist Steve McMahon — thinking about the Republicans’ chances of retaining the House?

    “If someone produces Osama bin Laden,” he says, “and it turns out that he has been operating out of a bunker in Baghdad, well, that might be enough. Short of that, I just don’t see it.”

    GOP party Chairman Ken Mehlman disagrees. His volunteer matrix, known as “The 72-hour Program,” is like a turn-out drug for the Republican Party. While some Democrats are going to Craig’s List for volunteers, Mehlman is light-years beyond that; he’s reached 16 million people in voter-to-voter contacts in the past seven weeks.

    “I believe that elections are won based on choices on the ballots and the issues,” Mehlman says. “Our turn-out program allows us to get out the message and make contact with voters, giving them the opportunity to hear our message on lower taxes and having a strong defense.”

    That measure of intensity and of getting out the message to voters can swing a tight election.

    Right now, the answer lies in what can only be considered a premed calculus equation: House Republicans stand on the precipice of a 14-seat loss, which would just barely keep them in power — but that number is sliding precariously toward 18. On the Senate side, Republicans seem a little safer; they probably will lose only four to five seats.

    But remember this: This is not a repeat of the 1994 midterm election and its reform-driven Republican sweep. This is an election about change — like 1992 without H. Ross Perot.

October 23, 2006

Ground Zero

Filed under: Elections, Calculus — AlexC @ 5:28 pm

Bill Mulgrew at the Evening Bulletin asks a few questions of RNC Chairman Ken Mehlman.

    TEB: Why isn’t the RNC paying for advertisement for the Santorum campaign, as it is doing in other races? Does this indicate low confidence in the senator’s chances?

    Ken Mehlman: We’re spending millions of dollars and have 20 paid staff in Pennsylvania. We have an excellent turn-out organization that is making a difference. We have tremendous confidence in Santorum and he’s a terrific fundraiser. Why would I have 20 paid staff in Pennsylvania if I didn’t think Santorum was going to win?

October 21, 2006

Santorum Wins!

Filed under: Calculus — AlexC @ 11:49 am

Well, that’s was Barron’s Magazine thinks.

    JUBILANT DEMOCRATS SHOULD RECONSIDER their order for confetti and noisemakers. The Democrats, as widely reported, are expecting GOP-weary voters to flock to the polls in two weeks and hand them control of the House for the first time in 12 years — and perhaps the Senate, as well. Even some Republicans privately confess that they are anticipating the election-day equivalent of Little Big Horn. Pardon our hubris, but we just don’t see it.

    Our analysis — based on a race-by-race examination of campaign-finance data — suggests that the GOP will hang on to both chambers, at least nominally. We expect the Republican majority in the House to fall by eight seats, to 224 of the chamber’s 435. At the very worst, our analysis suggests, the party’s loss could be as large as 14 seats, leaving a one-seat majority. But that is still a far cry from the 20-seat loss some are predicting. In the Senate, with 100 seats, we see the GOP winding up with 52, down three

    In Pennsylvania, pundits have written off Republican Sen. Rick Santorum, who has raised $17.3 million.[$21 million, but who’s counting? ed] His Democratic challenger, Bob Casey, who has raised $15 million, has a large lead in the polls. This is the first serious challenge for Santorum since he was elected in 1994. We see him defying the pollsters on Nov. 7 and hanging on to his seat, with voters from the Western part of the state riding to his rescue

    With only two weeks to go, a barrage of contradictory poll findings is apt to confuse the oddsmakers, not to mention voters. But we’re sticking with our numbers, and they say one thing: The Democrats don’t have quite enough heft to push aside the elephant.

(tip to Powerline)

Clinton, Rendell and Casey - Oh Please

Filed under: Policy, Debates, Calculus, Issues - Health — Ron Greiner @ 8:55 am
Posted at Swannblog.com

Al Gore and Kerry are smarter than Ed Rendell. Gore wouldn’t let Clinton stand on the same stage with him and Rendell lets Clinton hug him. So Bill must feel loved. Casey loves Clinton too. It’s a real love fest for Clinton in Pennsylvania. Clinton, Rendell and Casey – Common GoodGet real.

    WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Former President Bill Clinton urged Democrats on Wednesday to strive for an inclusive politics of “common good” and fight back against the divisive approach of Republican leaders.[…] “Ideological, divisive, demonizing, distracting politics, they may be very good for an election, particularly when people feel unsettled and insecure, but they don’t do much to advance the common good,” he said at Georgetown University, on the same stage where 15 years ago he called for a “New Covenant” in politics.

    “This sort of politics, striving for the common good, for me stands in stark contrast to both the political and governing philosophy of the leadership in Washington today and for the last six years,” he said.

This whole Common Good thing is creepy when it comes to Rendell’s Socialized Medicine. These three creepy clowns in Socialism are a little short on ETHICS:

    This is a deeply disturbing book for it describes in a good light what the author calls “the lesser-known ‘flipside’ of fascism-the side that gave us struggles against smoking, campaigns for cleaner food and water, for exercise and preventive medicine.”

    The Nazi “accomplishments” include the establishment of medical registries (that is, databases) and medical surveillance, both later used for “euthanasia,” and the linkage of occupational diseases and cancer to environmental poisons. The author, professor of history of science at Penn State, also details how Nazi scientists were the first investigators to link and ultimately prove with elegant epidemiological studies that cigarette smoking causes lung cancer.

    Armed with scientific proof, Nazi officials moved aggressively in an all-out campaign against cigarette smoking, and tobacco was proclaimed “an enemy of the people” (Volksfeind). As the author states early in his prologue: “The participation of doctors in Nazi racial crimes is disturbing, but it is equally disturbing that Nazi doctors and public health activists were also involved in what we today might regard as ‘progressive’ or even socially responsible [programs].” But what disturbs Proctor is that he is uncomfortable in the company of some of history’s foremost butchers, for he shares with them the view that it is permissible to use state power for the advance of “public health.”
    Proctor points out German physicians and scientists produced genuine medical research, not only during the Nazi era, but long before that. Through much of the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, Germany led the world in scientific achievements, particularly medical research. Nevertheless, those accomplishments must be viewed within their ethical, moral, and historical context. Proctor writes almost dispassionately and always objectively, as the science historian he is. Unfortunately, this book lacks the perspective of a medical ethicist. As a neurosurgeon with a background in medical history and a more than passing interest in medical ethics, I don’t see the Nazi “achievements” in the same positive light that the author does.

    The subject of “bioethics” and “medical ethics” and their long-term consequences to German society (or for that matter ours) are not broached in this book until the very end, and then the author’s discussion is contained within only two pages. He even reproaches medical ethicists when he adds: “Bioethical discussions are full of facile identifications of Nazism with everything from abortion and rationalized medicine to doctor-assisted suicide.” That is, Proctor declines to discuss the ethics of the Nazi war on cancer because he dislikes the fact that some medical ethicists have gone too far in linking practices and policies they abhor with Nazism.

    I side with the medical ethicists and with those souls, not all of them libertarians as the author implies, who are troubled by further government efforts in our country to protect us from ourselves-for the good of “society”-at the expense of our autonomy and liberties. In Proctor’s utilitarian calculus, freedom evidently counts for nothing. It counted for nothing to the Nazis, too.
    Consider that the Nazis themselves declared that occupational medicine, one of the disciplines dear to their hearts, was to make a “worker who would remain productive until retirement and then pass away shortly thereafter.” The aim of the Nazis was “to reduce the difference between the age of retirement and the age of death ideally to zero.” And those were the lucky ones-the members of the master race. For the rest of the expendable “undermen” there was slavery, ghastly medical experimentation, and death in the abominable concentration camps.
    There is danger in the unholy partnership of the medical profession and government planners, namely the [[perversion and subversion]] of the medical sciences and public health for the new collectivist ethics of population-based medicine. Once medical professionals ally with the state and abandon the individual-based ethics of Hippocrates in favor of the collective good, or as the Nazis put it, “the health of the nation,” the stage is set for a terrible drama.

    Parallels must be drawn with our present situation, as much as the author wants to avoid it. In the areas of public health, the politicization of AIDS policy, mandatory vaccine programs, biased research on guns (and its publication in medical journals), and so on, the U.S. government is following the Nazi precedent by casting aside our cherished concepts of individualism in a quixotic crusade for “the common good.”

    I strongly recommend this book, particularly to history buffs and those interested in the perpetual struggle between the individual and the state. Its history is immensely valuable, even if the author fails to draw the right conclusions.

    Miguel Faria, M.D., is editor-in-chief of the Medical Sentinel, published by the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons (AAPS), and author of Vandals at the Gates of Medicine: Historic Perspective on the Battle Over Health Care Reform and Medical Warrior: Fighting Corporate Socialized Medicine.

Don’t vote for central planners (Socialists) / Vote Swann and Santorum

October 19, 2006

Good News - Philly Newspaper Endorses Santorum!!

Filed under: Elections, Pa Politics, Calculus — Ron Greiner @ 11:31 am

Newspaper raises white flag
Philly Newspaper tells truth, don’t be shocked.

    Santorum, after running an aggressive, smart campaign, after beating Casey on points and substance in four debates, after desperately fighting for a job he loves, is going to [lose]. (Wishful thinking but wrong)

    And Casey’s going to win a job he never wanted in a city where he doesn’t want to be and in a way in which few will give him credit.

    It must be frustrating for both.

Casey will never make it another 20 days.

    Winning election to high public office ought to be about winning the confidence of voters on the basis of leadership, ideas and achievement, not about following a strategy of how best not to lose.

Casey: Breath in, breath out, move on.

20 days is a long way to go for Mumbling Bobby (Bozo) the Clown.

I bet Governor Rendell made the Philly Newspaper ENDORSE Santorum!! (Rendell loves Santorum).

Some politicians are too confused.

Fewer Politicians / More Patriots - Vote Swann and Santorum

October 16, 2006

Handicapping

Filed under: Elections, Calculus — AlexC @ 11:43 am

A month ago NRO’s John J Miller called the race a TOSS-UP. Now he downgrades it to DEM TAKEOVER.

    Last week’s debate in Pittsburgh showed that Bob Casey Jr. is at best a second-rate candidate — but it may not matter, if Pennsylvanians continue to view this contest as a referendum on Republican senator Rick Santorum. A poll of likely voters by the Allentown Morning Call showed Casey holding a small lead, 46 percent to 41 percent. Several other recent surveys have given Casey a bigger advantage. Is Santorum finally closing on his opponent, as he must now do? “Democrats win polls,” he said last week. “I win elections.”

October 8, 2006

History and the T

Filed under: Calculus, Issues - National Security — AlexC @ 6:20 pm

The Daily Review

    But this is part of the “T”, the swath of rural, central and northern Pennsylvania counties shaped that way and dominated by conservative Republicans, who, it often seems, would never vote for a Democrat unless a gun was pointed at them. They would probably reach for their own rifles and pistols at that point.

    This is Rick Santorum country, and if the war is a concern, it isn’t translating into serious political trouble here for the senator.

    In the parking lot of Genova’s Restaurant, a “Sportsmen for Santorum” sticker hugs the gate of a pickup truck. Below, another sticker, “Boycott France,” campaigns from the bumper.

    Half the vehicles that roll down freshly paved North Hanover Street — the main thoroughfare through Carlisle — are pickup trucks.

    It is easy to imagine an army of them roaring down nearby Blue Mountain defending the heartland against terrorist invaders. These days, the trucks roll past dozens of well-preserved Victorian and Colonial buildings and the state historical markers that explain the buildings’ significance.

    To the south lies Gettysburg, where the North made its stand against the South.

    This is the “T”, which Mr. Santorum must defend against interloping Democrat state Treasurer Bob Casey Jr.

    History is on the senator’s side.

October 5, 2006

Timing, Etc

Filed under: Calculus — AlexC @ 12:54 am

Jed Babbin.

    why are all the Washington liberals cheering and raising money for so-called Democrat moderates? Because they know these “moderates” will, like they always do, vote liberal in the Senate and House. Republicans like Sens. Rick Santorum and Mike DeWine always want to see their race as a competition of resumes and their consultants reinforce that by telling them what they want to hear. They’d do better by ignoring the consultants and battling their opponents ideologically. The Republicans should deploy the ultimate weapon - the “L” word - forthwith. You want to see Tester’s numbers to drop in Montana or McCaskill’s in Missouri? Tie them to Sen. Schumer’s refusal to describe what the Dems will do if they get control of the Senate. Will Tester or McCaskill vote to make Pat Leahy chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee and thus prevent confirmation of any conservative judge to the Supreme Court? How many of these so-called moderates will break their campaign promises as soon as they get to Washington? These are the questions the media should be asking. Because they won’t, Republicans have to.

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