Today I received the following email from Fr. Frank Pavone, M.E.V. of Priests for Life:
Dear Friends,
Yes, I’m motivated about next week’s election. Before I share with you my column on that and an encouraging article, let me alert you to some important action you can take:
Today begins the final nine days of our 18-week Novena of Prayer for the Elections. Please sign up at www.PrayerCampaign.org to download the prayer. You will also see a special prayer there for each of the states in which there is a special ballot initiative!
This week is critical for mobilizing people to take action, especially in the distribution of literature about the candidates. Please contact John at our office at vote@priestsforlife.org if you are able to help distribute literature, especially next weekend, and he’ll help connect you with the groups that are doing it.
Speaking of candidates, you’ll find that we have posted some candidate information at www.priestsforlife.org/candidates. You may download and print out any of that information that would be helpful. Duplicating it is fine.
As you can imagine, we are getting near the end of our supply of our own booklet “Voting with a Clear Conscience.” Last minute orders can be sent to orders@priestsforlife.org, and we’ll rush them as the supply lasts. But you can also download the booklet at www.priestsforlife.org/vote/voting-clear-conscience.pdf. As with all our products, this booklet relies on original sources. We’re bringing you the words of the Pope and bishops just as they wrote them.
Another way to help people prepare for Election Day is to invite them to watch my homily on the EWTN televised Mass on this Friday, November 3. The Mass airs at 8am (ET), 12pm, 7pm and midnight. For more information see www.ewtn.com, where it can also be heard online. Please promote this to your lists, because I’ll be delivering a practical and powerful election message.
Not only are we getting the election message out on TV and radio, but we’ve put video messages on the internet at “Youtube.” One thing you can do is to help us spread these messages. Here are the links and a sample email you can send to your list:
Election 2006 - 5 Minute Spot
www.youtube.com/watch?v=1e4u2K53mLA
Election 2006 - Christian Duty - 30 Second Spot
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q4RlLQbaBCQ
Election 2006 - No Separation of Church and State - 30 Second Spot
www.youtube.com/watch?v=2a8Cvb1eAgM
SAMPLE E-MAIL
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Dear Friend,
I want to share a special election video with you. The following links to an election related video featuring Fr. Frank Pavone.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=1e4u2K53mLA
“Christians aren’t second class citizens, we aren’t supposed to just sit on the sidelines and watch somebody else elect the people who will make the laws by which we will all have to abide. Help get this message to friends and family by sending them one or all of these links.” - Fr. Frank Pavone
Thank You,
(your name)
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Why I’m Voting Pro-life, and Motivated
Fr. Frank Pavone
National Director, Priests for Life
Election Day is approaching, and I’m motivated to vote and to influence many other votes. I’m motivated because voting is part of what I need to do to fulfill my life’s dream - a dream shared by many others -that abortion, the biggest holocaust the human family has ever known, will cease.
Some, even in the Church, don’t seem to get the fact that there’s no problem in society bigger than abortion. But then again, when it’s constantly celebrated by many others as a Constitutional right, and when we don’t read the descriptions or see the pictures, it’s easy for abortion’s horror to escape us.
I’m motivated to vote, not because one election will end abortion, and certainly not because I expect our elected officials to be perfect or to do my work for me. The People of God have to do the work of ending abortion - providing alternatives, educating minds, changing hearts, changing laws. But part of that work is electing the people who will pose the least obstacle to that mission. We don’t elect people to do our work for us, but rather people who will let us do our own work. So often it’s a choice between those who will do the least damage, or permit the fewer numbers of abortions. It may be a choice between those willing to permit all abortions or those willing at least to draw some lines at where it should stop. I’d rather have the line-drawers, because when it comes time for the lines to become laws, at least they won’t stand in the way. I don’t look for the perfect candidate, but when I have a choice between a mess and a messier mess, I choose the mess.
I’m motivated, because we’ve made progress. We have two solid new Justices on the Supreme Court who don’t believe in inventing new rights from “penumbras” -and just like in 2004, the Supreme Court is at stake again. If there’s a vacancy in the next two years, the President needs a Senate that will confirm good Justices. We have lots of other new federal judges, who understand the limits of judicial authority. And we have new laws that bring us closer to the protection of the unborn, like the Born-Alive Infants Protection Act, the Unborn Victims of Violence Act, and the first ban on an abortion procedure since Roe vs. Wade, the Partial-Birth Abortion Ban Act.
So now it’s a numbers game. We have to spend our time and energy not convincing the one stubborn person, but reminding the many who will listen, if we simply nudge them a little and tell them who the best candidates are. We should go for the “low-hanging fruit,” those easiest to mobilize. And we should vote early. Many states allow voting before Election Day. Let’s get others to vote early, so that unforeseen circumstances don’t stop them from voting later.
The polls don’t determine elections; the people who show up at the polling places do. Let’s bring them out!
Remember to support our work at www.priestsforlife.org/donate
This column can be found online at
www.priestsforlife.org/columns/columns2006/06-11-06motivated.htm
Comments on this column? Email us at mail@priestsforlife.org, Priests for Life,
PO Box 141172, Staten Island, NY 10314; Tel: 888-PFL-3448, 718-980-4400; Fax:
718-980-6515; web: www.priestsforlife.org
This column can be listened to online in MP3 format at
www.priestsforlife.org/columns/columns2006/index.htm
This column can be heard via podcast. See www.priestsforlife.org/podcast for
more details.
October 27, 2006
Two Very Different Ways to Look at This Election
Posted by JOHN MCINTYRE
In 2004, there was a lot of talk about whether pollsters were correct to use traditional “likely voter” screens in their samples or whether a less restrictive “registered voter” model would turn out to be more accurate given the massive increases in voter registrations we saw posted all over the country. There’s not much discussion of the subject at all this cycle, perhaps due to the fact that it’s a midterm and not a presidential year, but it comes to mind because of the conflicting signals in this election and trying to get at just who is going to vote Nov. 7.
In some ways there are two very different ways to look at what is going to happen on election day.
1) Republicans are in big trouble. The generic ballot shows a huge lead for Democrats (over 15%) with fewer than 10 days until the election. Republicans in contested races are either trailing or polling in the mid-40’s, and given the national mood toward the GOP as seen in the generic ballot, it is reasonable to assume that these races will break for the Democrats. With the close races tipping the Democrats way they are poised for substantial pickups in the House of 25 seats or more and perhaps the six seats needed for a majority in the Senate.
2)The generic ballot is problematic and is over sampling Democrats, pushing the raw numbers higher for the Dems than they should be. Trying to use the generic ballot to predict who will then win x, y and z house races is a jump that can’t be made soundly. In 2004 the voter turnout was 60% of eligible voters. In 2002 and 1998 in the two previous midterms it was 40%. What if a significant number of that 15%-20% who aren’t going to show up at the polls this year come from soft voters in the middle? These are the exact group of voters that are helping drive the big polling numbers for Democrats. What if they don’t show up in these contested races at the same proportion they are representing in many of these polls? Following this line of thinking, it is possible the bulk of the races that the polls now say are close will actually go to the GOP because the pollsters aren’t sampling a representative field of who will actually vote in the contested races.
Simplifying things dramatically, the first view is essentially the one taken by Charlie Cook, and it’s why he is out forecasting a 20-35 seat pickup for the Dems in the House and a very good shot for them to take the Senate. The second view is the one taken by Karl Rove, which is why he believes the GOP will hold both chambers, losing less than 15 seats in the House and 3-4 in the Senate.
Both of these scenarios are logical, possible, and have empirical data to support their positions. The harder question is determining which reasoning will prove to be more powerful. Right now, when we drill down and look at the individual races to see where each contest is heading the data, at least in the Senate, appears to be trending toward the Rove position. The question is: will this movement in the Senate toward the GOP hold and will the House turn the same way?
Priests for Life Newsletter
Volume 16, Number 6
November-December 2006
Election Day - November 7
Whether you are reading this before or after Election Day, please be sure to visit our website www.politicalresponsibility.com for critical information about the midterm elections!
Before and on Nov. 7, please vote and to get as many other people as possible to vote! Visit, Call and email your friends, co-workers, fellow parishioners, and get them to the polls! Take the day off on Election Day and work to get pro-life candidates elected! The results of Tuesday’s elections will impact how quickly we can restore protection to the unborn!
ZERO. That’s the number of Churches that have lost their tax-exempt status by urging people to vote, helping them get to the polls, and teaching them that Christians are to vote as Christians, evaluating candidates by their fidelity to God’s law, starting with the protection of life!
“At all times and in all places, the Church should have the true freedom to teach the faith, to proclaim its teaching about society, to carry out its task among men without hindrance, and to pass moral judgment even in matters relating to politics, whenever the fundamental rights of man or the salvation of souls requires it.”
– Second Vatican Council: Constitution on the Church in the Modern World (Gaudium et Spes), n.76.